Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.544363 1.806608 2.079685 2.383681 2.711127 3.051829 3.431749
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.107397 1.464204 1.859246 2.322215 2.843642 3.407209 4.057061
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.871875 1.268177 1.727440 2.285108 2.931618 3.646909 4.488124
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.726444 1.155212 1.672940 2.320806 3.089680 3.956029 4.990221
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.603491 1.049690 1.610347 2.331587 3.205410 4.205522 5.414380
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.484592 0.932421 1.519926 2.297446 3.258892 4.375943 5.742089
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.444264 0.916575 1.554295 2.413667 3.489825 4.751556 6.305447
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.411784 0.907058 1.593601 2.533646 3.723720 5.129813 6.871670
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.388251 0.907327 1.643726 2.665875 3.971757 5.524551 7.457392
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.373591 0.918970 1.708025 2.815658 4.241286 5.945177 8.074226
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.341479 0.898490 1.724931 2.901469 4.429646 6.267516 8.574598
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.293125 0.844637 1.690324 2.915828 4.525664 6.476529 8.939166
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.222359 0.744133 1.586666 2.840415 4.514561 6.565502 9.174920
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.163356 0.652396 1.488595 2.767735 4.504168 6.654279 9.410847
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.122049 0.584350 1.419253 2.728428 4.531265 6.784026 9.690805
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.100002 0.553339 1.406212 2.767271 4.660210 7.040275 10.124641
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.077567 0.514346 1.376391 2.779369 4.751841 7.248556 10.499110
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053290 0.459827 1.315024 2.741611 4.774010 7.367406 10.762545
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.050134 0.468556 1.364779 2.869839 5.021606 7.773161 11.380568
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.047595 0.478677 1.416964 3.001914 5.274849 8.186691 12.009009
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.046463 0.493433 1.477670 3.147196 5.546623 8.624509 12.668350
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.047104 0.514712 1.550573 3.311419 5.844887 9.096860 13.371330
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.041549 0.511327 1.577502 3.405349 6.046753 9.446114 13.922181